Climate — Surface waters Change medium water drainage (MQ)

Change in the medium water drain (MQ) in the future. The changes are expressed as percentage increases or decreases of a 30-year average for the near future (2021-2050) or for the distant future (2071-2100) compared to a reference period (1971-2000). The data base consists of simulated outflows from various hydrological or statistical models on a daily value basis, driven by data from an ensemble of eight regional climate models (from the EURO-CORDEX project) based on a scenario without climate protection (RCP8.5). This scenario describes a future evolution of humanity, in which the energy supply is essentially based on the combustion of fossil fuels and the emission of greenhouse gases leads to a steady increase in radiative forcing until the year 2100. The median forms the middle trend from the bandwidth of the different change signals of the ensemble membersab, the maximum value is the upper bandwidth, the minimum value the lower bandwidth.