Population by sex and five-year age groups in Apulia. Demographic forecasts from 2020 to 2030

With the project “demographic forecasts”, included in the National Statistical Programme (code PSN IST-01448), Istat has been responding for over thirty years to this kind of needs, with a cadence that if in the past it was periodic (every three to five years) since 2017 has become annual, and a model that from the original deterministic approach has been transformed into probabilistic. The interest in the territorial dimension has always characterised activity in the field of demographic forecasting, because the possibility of producing information of territorial detail is fundamental to analyse and understand the same national demographics. However, the level of regional detail is often insufficient because the planning of a territory is increasingly in need of micro-founded information. The impulse of this growing interest has therefore led Istat to develop a new product in the sector, of nature for the experimental moment: municipal demographic forecasts based on 1.1.2020 until 1.1.2030, by gender and age. The data can be downloaded directly from the site for all the provinces, for the municipalities of the provincial capitals and for all the municipalities, although not capitals, that exceed 30 thousand inhabitants.