GLA: Interim 2015-based population projections

<p>From January 2017 the GLA has revised its naming convention for it's population projections. Projections will now be labelled based on the latest mid-year estimate data which informs the projection. As such this set of projections is a 2015-based projection.</p> <p>This set of projections is labelled &lsquo;interim&rsquo; in anticipation of a revised set of 2015-based projections which will inform the London Plan. Once released, in spring 2017, those projections will supersede this set.</p> <p>Four variants of local authority level population projections, one ward-level projection and one msoa-level projection are currenty available:</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Borough</strong></p> <ul> <li>Central Trend-based projection (using a 10-year migration scenario)</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Short-term Trend-based projection (using a 5-year migration scenario)&nbsp;</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Long-term Trend-based projection (using a 14-year migration scenario)</li> </ul> <ul> <li>Housing-linked projection incorporating data from the 2013 SHLAA (consistent with the central trend model)</li> </ul> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Small Area</strong></p> <ul> <li>Ward-level projections consistent with the borough housing-led model</li> </ul> <ul> <li>MSOA-level projections consistent with the borough housing-led model</li> </ul> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Documentation</strong></p> <p>Methodology papers for all of the projections are availble on the <strong><a href="https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/interim-2015-based-projections-documentation">documentation page</a></strong>&nbsp;for this dataset.</p> <p>Reults Updates for the Trend and Housing-led projections are available on the documentation page.</p> <p>A series of&nbsp;<strong><a href="https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/interim-2015-based-ward-projection-profiles">ward projection profiles</a></strong> are also available to dowload.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Notes</strong></p> <p>A&nbsp;tool detailing the relationships between the various projections and variants can be found <strong><a title="Projections Tree" href="https://data.london.gov.uk/demographic-projections/">here</a></strong>.</p> <p>These projections make no attempt to account for the UK's exit from the European Union.</p>